Sockeye catches are increasing but Alaska remains on track for a significantly smaller harvest than last year, and Russia’s reduced forecast further tightens the global wild salmon outlook.

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Sockeye catches are increasing but Alaska remains on track for a significantly smaller harvest than last year, and Russia’s reduced forecast further tightens the global wild salmon outlook.

What’s expected to be a lean AK salmon fishery is ramping up and fishermen’s prices are being posted. Also, free catch updates are now availble for several sources.

Global wild salmon harvest projections could drop by over 30%. Lower AK and Russian pink salmon catches, combined with continued weakness in Japanese chum returns, could create one of the tightest wild salmon suppllies in recent memory.

Alaska’s 2026 projected statewide salmon harvest is down by nearly 36%. See comparisons to 2025, including dock prices.

Salmon forecasts for most regions in 2026 are dubbed “average” or “weak” by state managers. Exceptions are pinks & chums at PWS and at Cook Inlet’s federal waters sockeye fishery.
Once one of AK’s most lucrative fisheries, herring today has almost zero interest from a single buyer: Japan.
Atlantic Halibut catches are now almost equal to the entire Pacific coast harvest. Pacific catch limits will be announced later this month.

Alaska’s commercial fishing begins on January 1 for fixed gears targeting various groundfish; trawlers hit the water on Jan. 20.

Little interest in AK herring last year saw just 17% of the 35,720 ton harvest taken at Sitka. Alaska has not broadened its herring market beyond a single buyer – Japan – for over 50 years.

Many question whether the Trump administration’s talk on science aligns with its actions due to lay offs of hundreds of scientists as part of the its efforts to shrink the federal workforce.