Bristol Bay 2023 sockeye catch could be down by nearly 40%

Bristol Bay fishermen and processors expect far fewer sockeye salmon next summer.

by | November 4, 2022

Filed Under Uncategorized

Salmon run forecast is 13% lower than 10 year average but still “strong”

Salmon catches at the world’s biggest sockeye fishery at Bristol Bay are projected to be well below last year’s record harvest of 60.1 million reds.

A run forecast of 49.98 million fish would produce a maximum catch of 37.8 million sockeye salmon. The 2022 salmon run was 71.9 million sockeyes.

“This is 10% smaller than the most recent 10-year average of Bristol Bay total runs (57.24m fish) and 40% greater than the long-term (1963–2022) average of 36.52m fish,” the Alaska Dept. of Fish and Game said in an announcement this week.

The University of Washington Alaska Salmon Program, however, predicts a smaller catch of 34.95 million sockeye salmon. Either way, it amounts to about 37% fewer sockeye salmon from Bristol Bay compared to the 2022 harvest.

ADF&G cautioned, however, that forecasts are “inherently  difficult and uncertain” but that similar forecasting methods have been used since 2001 to produce the sockeye salmon forecast “which have performed well when applied to Bristol Bay as a whole.”

Below is the breakdown of the major Bristol Bay regions region from the University of Washington Alaska Salmon Program:

Photo credit:
Tagged as:

About Laine

Laine Welch has covered the Alaska fish beat for print and radio since 1988. She also has worked “behind the counter” at retail and wholesale seafood companies in Kodiak and on Cape Cod.


You May Also Like

Pin It on Pinterest